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HomeMy WebLinkAbout01/23/2020 - Langan Response to Raw Count Data - - ADT Trip Generation MEMOi Amazon Fulfillment Center North Andover, MA Langan Project No.:140182701, January 23, 2020- Page 2 of'3 It is important to note that the counts at these facilities observed in December 2016 represent peak season operations. Peak season employee niumbers, and operations, are different, and are not indicative, of non-peak season operations. During peak season these facilities increase hiring, interviewing, and implement variable shift lengths that create traffic, volumes and' characteristics that inflate the employee trip generation volumes and ratios. The Fall River, MA facility counts were conducted in August 2019 during non-peals season operations. This is the same period to be evaluated in determining the anticipated AI for the proposed North Andover facility. The Fall River facility has similar non-peak season operational characteristics as the other three facilities counted and the proposed facility in North Andover; however, it handles larger packages, less automation, and requires less, employees. The three non-Massachus,etts facilities are in locations where mass transit is not readily availabile, which is reflected in the elevated volumes of cars counted as compared to the Fall' River facility where mass transit options are available. Even though that is the case, we are utilizing the three non-Massachusetts data sets in the creation of a weighted average, or blended, rate to determine the anticipated ACTT for the proposed facility in North Andover. in +,a Fulfillment Center Weiqhted A ve a b. The following table illustrates,the passenger car volumes observed and the number of employees at each of the facilities. The ratios for each of these facilities are added together and divided by four to provide a weighted average, or a blended rate. Table 1 Amazon Fulfillment Centers Empirical Average Daily Trips &Weighted Average Trip Rate i i r i i f I � i I + J t I I, ,f;f i rr I� I. Id "I RON)I ..... �101' 11 MW4 %iffm 9, Enter 984 31208 31649 3,2014 Ca rs Exit 949 31275 315513 31231 Total 1.,933 61483 7F2O2 6143o Employees 1,3010 2,1602 2,604 Trip Bate (Car trip s/emp:loyee) 1.49 2.49, 2.77' 2.47: Weighted Average Trip Rate 21.42 Trip Rate is the,total car volume divided by the employee count(day shift+night shift) 2 Weighted Average Trip Rate is calculated by dividing the individual employee count at each location by the total number of employees at all locations,then multiplying that result by the trip rate at that location and summing the four locations together The weighted average rate (ratio) above, is combined with the independent variable - the number of employees -to determine the anticipated A for the proposed North Andover fulfillment center. LA/v �cuv ADT Trip Generation MEMOAmazon Fulfillment Center North Andover, MA Langan Project No.;140182701 January 23, 2020- Page 3 of 3 Proposed Fulfilment Center ADT Amazon has announced publicly that they expect to employ at least 1,500 staff at the North Andover facility. Utilizing a larger number of employees to overestimate the publicly announced number of employees, would result in a larger ADT volume, This approach, along with using the conservative weighted average rate from Table 1 results in the car volumes indicated in Table 2. This volume, combined with the anticipated tractor trailer truck ADT specific to the operations of this proposed fulfillment center, will result in the anticipated ADT for the proposed Amazon fulfillment center in North Andover. Table 2 North Andover Amazon Fulfillment Center Anticipated Average Daily Traffic ..,x„ .-N`.-.`�, S v>`.-...,J' �",.,. ace "•.\\`�.:'-.=,'F .... s--"a,. .. <... ..^„. �"..•`•Sh.. '\....F:a".. .....,;�„`w-.". "-:w�,r"..'S.tis'..urii'w�ii` �"+`-.s..• •.,Y.: .�.=!ate'."' ...:C:."`-✓^:<: .\ .. ...... .. ,`.�w,.'�-:--c`.�•F".\�`�N^n" ....„..r...... .,.,..-. �" '.i .�'.'""" 1. .F.r �' "`... :YTxv`.c ..� <• -'K a \"w.v`•• � ...�� 'S -v;-.•�w`Hw:c:-�,.....:n Lw"„hv.-.„r� �...0. �\ Y.�`,-, �v:Y m�„ 'v�.:.,'C .t.•'�i`:'w`.✓C".xl ,.••�:,.^'� _ ..�., ^�..e .�...-..` ^�.„`r.� ,..„.'�-;.•"r�..n��c•'""e, .mac-iaC`•.:,: .•"the..,.,r ....`✓' Kra � ..�=:�\ .'U..' „.--..\ ..... �`=si"G._. `--'...„ � .•`. : Yam.`". -w:�x,.. ...✓'„`.,, .✓^:.v..�• "S. `e^`. y '�. �w\.`�-: r•.� —;.f.mac`.mow::'"�� ,.a,.w.,..�: a .w`•�^'� ,.,.�..,.:,` "n: rc�'�;::.,.. �c '�``'��: �`.--�\,h"::ter•::... � �...`---.;����.:.. "C":..w .:::.':z r � .�.s �_ � ,�.. �,.: �✓.f„ .� •�::.. �'�\\„ .:-mac�:'^.,�`:=`�•� . �-•`e-�..`.'•�•�c�, ...-.,.,a.- -`..�.•ar.�a�.. 'a-,-,.,.,. .�'...s � `-.. .,...`...._�.�'"r,.: F" "^;�"�`w^"•�'�-�•A-,;;�:,..•w.`.�ze-�.`.:.,, r`..--.,�«.•.. ,...�e.. :;`u`,.... �-. ...��,...•.e... ••�.....�,h ..\.. �a Cars 21178 2,178 41359 Trucks 2 242 242 484 Total 2,420 2,420 4.843 Car volumes shown are based on 1,800 employees during non-peak season operations multiplied by the weighted average trip rate of 2.42 trips/employee developed in Table 1 2 Truck volumes shown are based on Amazon specific truck operations for the North Andover facility Redevelopment Net New ADT Previously provided to MassDOT was a description of data collection resulting in the average daily trips removed from the redevelopment associated with the elimination of the industrial/manufacturing uses present on the site. Accordingly, the ADT volume eliminated from the site is 2,975 trips. Subtracting this volume from the anticipated ADT of the Amazon fulfillment center results in the net new ADT generated by the development. Table 3 Illustrates this. Table 3 Anticipated Net New Average Daily Trips _" ...:. •t.-,.K, `F.. ``a^w a 1w-.`u.\.. w.."=,.'�,.;-:,`�u `u.✓�.„ �:`w"w`,'^:=wtia\•,-.. •.�,'S "S.'+ :K �� "�,-w:,✓`;.K -^,,�.�;,•�... w-K„ ..;. x, .`e`���.,,�.. `�....w�.,,s,. �,�......�:,`.�.'�...�.,.,M,.., a u -�S�...,,.^,,.`c....✓^`a u�" .:�..`,".".w<.�, .,.;-`..5,,y �,._`K.•T•\-r-9U«•..a.,,^.,., ..r c"`"�.,,d- "'�.C;..:." w� ,� �--,�.w. :^, �``�a�w� ��;;`a,✓hw��..� ws` `--�� �„��..;-'�-�c;�`.r��«�°-"Aiv--r`. �..,s.�'�'-5'-�.�1.w"`=�"`,�"�"` � �� ;`ate:,,,-��7-� .`?.�' ham,:�.,�^,�„,�.i `".-.�i��-�-../""` `�•.;`��, ,..�,,. �.�.. m1�.-- =`"`�..� .--1<".`-,..�"�4�?:`�`,... �.�.. �-���w�..�;,�-�w�.�•% �'�, "���"ti. �,`.,`�.-" '�,:n-G.�.�.� .�.�`.G `�,s,.,,.,,_ _<r��"� .,G-�y,.. �.`-fir. •,�-c«.`,"- �Rl�. F��-`.w. � ^,-.`"`,.`��rn�"`�v�=.,`„c.`,,.r .. `.�„,;,��v� .r� „a✓„' ���� `<::�`-�w,.,. ...w--,c `�..�...�r<'m..'�.:-.,- a'.?.-�:-, r` '"-`�, "'°�w�".^". ��--..`�...�,. "`a�..r ;r`r-�. .�.�, '^"F=-"i^`�.�,k��a� m� �•,:.�w,.... .✓�-„,.`� F ��.,.��\'nw Proposed Amazon Fulfillment Center 41843 Existing Industrial/Manufacturing Uses Removed 21975 Net New ADT 11868 Table 3 indicates that the proposed redevelopment of Osgood Landing in North Andover will result in a net increase in average daily traffic of 1,868 vehicles. Wan gan.comldata\NHVldata71140182701Troject❑ata\Corres pond ence\Comment Response Letters12020-01-23 Final NET A13T Memo to MassDOW020-1-23 Net ADT Final DQT.docx LAIVEiA/V